so I got an update, one of my packages was picked up last night by "UPS Mail Innovations" in Carlsbad, CA. It only showed up this evening however because I was checking USPS and Google said it might be FedEx but it's not.
So, all seems well, although it's mildly concerning that only one package is showing. I'm disappointed that it looks like I won't have any new discs before Saturday (or even Tuesday), but maybe that is a good thing, I'll get stuff done outside rather than sit on the couch all weekend
I hope the rest of you all have equally good news soon...
Edit: in my case, it's Paranoid that's showing in the tracking system.