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Currently skiing in Colorado. Haven't told Mrs Surround yet that Saturday and Sunday are going to be short days because of the NFL playoffs. What to do...What to do? :unsure:
sorry about that sore knee. weird how it starts to get real sore late in the day ( hint hint ). Mrs AR hopefully will have compassion.
 
https://www.thestar.com/sports/spor...cle_d01c1f2e-95ef-510f-ac14-3e85755c9973.html

Chiefs vs. Bills NFL divisional odds and best bet: Expect James Cook to shine in Buffalo​


The Buffalo Bills host the Kansas City Chiefs in the most anticipated matchup of the divisional round.


By Steven Psihogios
Thursday, January 18, 2024


NFL odds as of 8:43 a.m. ET on 01/18/2024.

Chiefs vs. Bills odds and best bet​

Best Bet: Cook over 61.5 rushing yards (-117)
Buffalo has put a ton of pressure on Josh Allen in recent postseason duels against Kansas City, but he shouldn't have to be the hero on Sunday.

Attacking the Chiefs' defence through the air isn't the best way to approach this game. Kansas City is ceding the second-fewest yards per attempt (5.4) this season. The unit has been downright dominant against opposing passers.
Betting marketsOdds
Chiefs moneyline+125
Bills moneyline-152
Chiefs +2.5+104
Bills -2.5-125
Over 45.5 points-110
Under 45.5 points-110
Josh Allen anytime touchdown-127
Travis Kelce anytime touchdown+102
James Cook anytime touchdown+112
Isiah Pacheco anytime touchdown+115
NFL odds as of 8:43 a.m. ET on 01/18/2024.
  • Stopping the run, however, has been a very difficult challenge for the Chiefs, who are tied for allowing the ninth-most yards per rush (4.4) in the league.

    Cook had a very efficient outing earlier this season against Kansas City. He fell below this mark, but he turned 10 carries into 58 yards. He also added five receptions for 83 yards and a score.

    Another important detail to note from that game is that Cook had a 44% snap share. He's played 55% or more of Buffalo's offensive snaps in all five games since, which is a positive for this wager.


    Kansas City could be without starting defensive tackle Derrick Nnadi after he missed practice on Wednesday. His absence would only strengthen Buffalo's case for attacking the Chiefs on the ground.

    Key stat: Cook has 70-plus rushing yards in three of his last five games.






2024-01-CP169679949
 
Meanwhile in Buffalo...
Vinnie Garofalo's Chief's bar, Casey's Black Rock, has been getting a lot of messages and emails from people who are traveling up from Kansas City to the game.

Casey's Black Rock, Chiefs bar in Buffalo

Before he opened the bar, Garofalo only knew one other Chiefs fan in New York.

Vinnie Garofalo, the owner of Casey's Black Rock, a Chiefs bar in Buffalo

"It’s slowly built into this fun thing where, you know, 15 or 20 of us get together on Sundays," Garofalo said.

He wants to see High Mark Stadium turn red this weekend.

"Patrick is undefeated at High Mark, and I don’t anticipate that changing this weekend," Garofalo said.

Garofalo wants to see Patrick Mahomes give it his all out on the field, so he can start planning his trip to wherever they'll play next.


"Whether it’s in Baltimore, or here at Arrowhead, I’m going," he said. "And if they somehow get past the AFC Championship, I’ll be in Vegas."
 
Eight teams remain. Four games to determine the NFL’s Final Four. Plenty of story lines.

Josh Allen and the Bills have a third chance to get their first playoff win over Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City.

Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers hit the road to get respect from C.J. Gardner-Johnson and the Detroit Lions.

Lamar Jackson and the No. 1 seed Ravens aim to change their playoff narrative when they host C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans.

The No. 1 seed 49ers and the Green Bay Packers renew their playoff rivalry with two new quarterbacks leading the way this time around.
After a winning regular season, Pro Picks aims to rebound from a losing start in the wild-card round.

Houston at Baltimore​

Line: Ravens minus 9½

Stroud had a spectacular playoff debut for the Texans (11-7) in a 45-14 rout over Cleveland. First-year coach DeMeco Ryans quickly turned the franchise around with Stroud’s help but now they’re the huge underdogs, according to FanDuel Sportsbook.

Jackson had an All-Pro season leading Baltimore (13-4) to 10 wins over teams that finished with winning records. The Ravens won eight of those games by at least 14 points, including a 25-9 victory against Houston in Week 1.

These aren’t the same Texans four months later. Baltimore hopes it’s not the same playoff failure for Jackson, who is just 1-3 in the postseason.

Stroud had one of the best seasons for a rookie quarterback and handled the league’s top-ranked defence last week. But he’s facing another stout unit led by All-Pros Roquan Smith and Kyle Hamilton.

RAVENS, 30-20

Green Bay at San Francisco​

Line: 49ers minus 9½

This will be a record 10th playoff meeting between the two teams with San Francisco riding a four-game winning streak behind two wins each by Colin Kaepernick and Jimmy Garoppolo. Now, it’s Brock Purdy’s turn for the 49ers and Jordan Love at QB instead of Aaron Rodgers for the Packers (10-8).

Love also had a sensational playoff debut in a 48-32 rout over Dallas. The Cowboys entered with the fifth-ranked defence and had zero answers for coach Matt LaFleur’s game plan. Love, Aaron Jones and Romeo Doubs were unstoppable.

The 49ers (12-5) have a dynamic offence led by All-Pros Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, Kyle Juszczyk and Purdy, Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk. They also have a star-studded defence led by All-Pro linebacker Fred Warner and Nick Bosa and Charvarius Ward.

BEST BET: 49ERS, 34-19

Tampa Bay at Detroit​

Line: Lions minus 6½

Mayfield followed up his best season with an excellent performance in a 32-9 victory over Philadelphia. But Gardner-Johnson, a Lions cornerback, wasn’t all that impressed. He praised the Buccaneers’ wide receivers this week and added they’d be even better with a good quarterback. Mayfield responded by questioning whether Gardner-Johnson has watched any film because he mentioned Bucs receiver Russell Gage as one of the dangerous playmakers even though he’s been injured all season.

The trash talk on the field should be fun.

Jared Goff led the Lions (13-5) to a 24-23 win over the Rams last week after Detroit’s offence opened with three straight touchdown drives.

Tampa Bay’s defence shut down Jalen Hurts and Philadelphia but now faces a tougher challenge. The Lions cruised to a 20-6 road win over the Buccaneers (10-8) in Week 6.

LIONS, 23-20

Kansas City at Buffalo​

Line: Bills minus 2½

Finally, the Bills get Kansas City at home in January.

Mahomes’s first road playoff game of his career comes after two victories over the Bills at home in consecutive postseasons in the 2020 and 2021 seasons. The teams didn’t face off last year in the playoffs when KC (12-6) went on to win the Super Bowl.

The Bills (12-6) were 6-6 before a 20-17 victory at Kansas City ignited a five-game winning streak to close out the regular season. They’re playing on shorter rest after a snowstorm forced them to play Pittsburgh on Monday. KC had two extra days’ rest after beating Miami last Saturday night.

BILLS, 24-23

Last week:
Straight up: 2-4. Against spread: 2-4

Regular season: Straight up: 168-104. Against spread: 144-118-10.

Playoffs: Straight up: 2-4. Against spread: 2-4

Best bet: Straight up: 9-10. Against spread: 6-12-

Upset special: Straight up: 8-11. Against spread: 11-8.

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/spo...ce-to-conference-championship-games/#comments
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